The SPC has placed all of the state into the Slight Risk Category for severe thunderstorms early this afternoon and again this evening. An approaching cool front is forecast to generate a few lines of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and this evening.
The HRRR and NAMHRES models are forecasting that the first line of showers and thunderstorms will move across the state early this afternoon between noon and 3:00 PM. A second line of showers and thunderstorms may form and move across the state between 5:00 and 9:00 PM.
The SPC is forecasting that any thunderstorms that form will have a 15% chance of containing strong winds and a 2% chance of containing a weak tornado. The airmass over the state is humid and brief torrential downpours from these storms could deliver 1” – 2” of rain in a short period of time. This rainfall could cause minor urban flooding. z
The thunderstorm activity is expected to diminish after sunset and end by 10:00 PM.
severeweatherupdatefromdesppdemhsat930am7-25-22.pdf
Original source can be found here.
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